S14
S14
Debrief: Isreal Attacks Iran
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Debrief: Isreal Attacks Iran

Strategic Calculus, Regional Implications, and Escalation Dynamics

On June 13, 2025, at 3:20 AM, Israel launched Operation Rising Lion, conducting preemptive strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities including Fuel Enrichment Plant’s (FEP), and military infrastructure including key military personnel including RGC Commander Hossein Salami, Iranian Armed Forces Chief of Staff Major General Mohammad Bagheri (likely), and nuclear scientists Fereydoun Abbasi-Davani and Mohammad Mehdi Tehranchi. The codename, technically, "Am KeLavi" or "Nation like a Lion” demonstrates the deterrent, pre-emptive and symbolic nature of the operation. The operation represents a point of no return in Israel-Iran relations, with global implications for energy security, regional stability, and nuclear non-proliferation.

BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT (BLUF): Iran will likely retaliate within 48-72 hours through direct missile/drone strikes and proxy network activation, potentially triggering regional war with catastrophic energy market consequences.

For more information on Israel’s Motivations please see the Brief of Iran's Nuclear Program.

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